R9 FAT CHOI HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M44) - Thursday, 7 February 2019

16:40 HK TIME

summary


I’m not overly keen on this event; with a messy looking map coupled with the scratching of Big Party leaving it wide open. GAMECHANGERS is in the mix again, although he did get the perfect run and ride when scoring at Happy Valley last time. That said, the race rated okay and he is going to get a soft run again. However, the rise in weight has to be a major concern for this gelding that weighs in at just 984lbs. A most interesting runner who will probably be ignored by the market is Paul O’Sullivan’s COOL TEAM. Cool Team’s only run in Hong Kong was at the end of last season in the event won by the then ‘rising star’, Refined Treasure. That race rated very highly and the likes of Saul’s Special, Superich, Montreal and Acari all went on to win shortly afterwards. The issue is most runners from O’Sullivan’s stable benefit with a raceday run or two. Nonetheless, he will be a good price as a consequence. PRANCE DRAGON has only had one run for Tony Millard since leaving Michael Freedman but he has shown glimpses of potential this season. He maps nicely and deserves respect. KEY WITNESS is holding his form well-enough but he is arguably on his mark, while THRILLED is a hard one to assess given the Australian import is making his Hong Kong debut. He has shown some speed in trials and work leading into today. Two runners are worth backing at small units, Gamechangers and Cool Team.

selections


2 GAMECHANGERS

(rp – $5.00)

3rd @ $1.85p (trifecta/tierce with 5-7 @ $62.60 & $29.80)

8 COOL TEAM

(rp – $8.50)

5th

7 PRANCE DRAGON

(rp – $6.00)

1st DH @ $1.45 & $1.25 ($3.70/2 best corporate, quinella with 5 @ $11.90)

4 THRILLED

(rp – $7.50)

4th (first-four/quartet with 5-7 & 2 @ $189.90 & $96.80)

5 KEY WITNESS

(rp – $9.00)

1st DH @ $4.60 & $2.30 ($10.00/2 best corporate & quinella with 7 @ $11.90)

strategy


2 GAMECHANGERS

WIN (small units)

8 COOL TEAM

WIN (smaller units)

speed


The map is a little messy with the speed not easy to ascertain with THRILLED capable of leading this from EIGHTY EIGHTY. GAMECHANGERS can sit handy to the lead with PRANCE DRAGON.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)