R7 FAT CHOI HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M44) - Thursday, 7 February 2019

15:35 HK TIME

summary


It is going to be quite difficult to take on the favourite FULL OF BEAUTY in this event. The John Size-trained galloper is a nice progressive horse that has recorded two impressive victories and his on-pace style of racing means he takes much of the luck requirement out of the equation. The rise in grade and drop in weight give him a great chance to make it three on end. If he is caught wide and they make him work early, then it might play in to the hands of HONEST WAY who has been excellent all season but he will need a genuine tempo. That looks like it might be the case, however it depends on how quickly Moreira can find his spot on Full Of Beauty. TOP SCORE is another that can benefit from a decent tempo and his third to subsequent winner Tornado Twist rated well. All things said, there doesn’t seem much depth to this event and favourite will be hard to beat. There isn’t much between my assessment of the best chances and the market, so I won’t recommend an outlay, however if you can lock in better than what’s presented below then that’ll be worthwhile.

selections


7 FULL OF BEAUTY

(rp – $1.90)

1st @ $1.85 & $1.10 ($1.95 best corporate)

10 HONEST WAY

(rp – $7.50)

2nd @ $1.65p (quinella with 7 @ $5.45)

12 TOP SCORE

(rp – $14.00)

7th

strategy


NO OUTLAY RECOMMENDED

use prices accordingly.

speed


There will be at least GOOD speed here with SPARKLING DRAGON and BLITZING the most likely early pacesetters here with FULL OF BEAUTY. DALRADIAN is also drawn to sit handy from REEL BIZZY.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)