R11 KUNG HEI HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M44) - Thursday, 7 February 2019

17:50 HK TIME

summary


This is a good race to finish the card and there are a couple of good bets with SMILING PRIDE and CODYCEPS. Smiling Pride has been impressive in all three well-spaced runs for Jimmy Ting, and he’s been far too good for moderate opposition the last time we saw him on New Year’s Day. That performance rated well enough for him to win this event and it is worth noting that he had the edge over key rival FOLLOW ME earlier this season when the two clashed over 1400m. Even given their career progressions Smiling Pride meets him 4kg better today than then. Cordyceps also meets Follow Me better at the weights for their more recent clash (Race 320) and he is ready to win, it just depends on how hard he has to work in the early stages. Whilst he’s drawn wide, there isn’t a great deal of speed inside of him, so Cordyceps could find a good position in the running more easily than anticipated. VINCY is ready to win, but it won’t be easy with a wide draw and top weight given his racing pattern. If they go too hard up front then he’ll be a factor. While FAMOUS WARRIOR has proven costly on a number of occasions but there is no denying he remains in solid form and he maps to advantage to be right in the finish again. I am however happy to be backing Smiling Pride and Cordyceps in the last.

selections


14 SMILING PRIDE

(rp – $4.50)

4th

3 FOLLOW ME

(rp – $5.00)

6th

12 CORDYCEPS

(rp – $6.00)

1st @ $6.50 & $2.05 ($7.50 best corporate)

1 VINCY

(rp – $7.50)

8th

5 FAMOUS WARRIOR

(rp – $7.50)

3rd @ $2.60p

strategy


14 SMILING PRIDE

WIN (4 units)

12 CORDYCEPS

WIN (3 units)

speed


GREEN DISPATCH can lead this race at a speed on the SLOW side of GOOD. GLORIOUS DRAGON can secure a handy position with CORDYCEPS and SMILING PRIDE working forward from their wide barrier draws.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)