R8 KAM TSIN HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M43) - Saturday, 2 February 2019

16:35 HK TIME

summary


Racing again on the all-weather for the eighth, but there’s a little more quality here and there is a speculative play with VOLPINO. I like the manner in which he has been closing his races and he should appreciate the step up to mile on dirt. This will be his first start on the all-weather, so there is the risk he won’t handle it but I don’t mind what I’ve seen in trials and work on there, plus he should be reasonable odds. TOP LAURELS arguably should have won last time but for being boxed in when trying to build momentum at a key stage in the race and he clearly deserves another chance. Then MONGOLIAN LEGEND, who rises in the weights for today, defeated him but is an obvious contender. With plenty of expected pace, IMPERIAL CONCORDE might be the one to knock them all off. He usually finds a race through the season on the dirt and given he is third-up, this might be the time given how I think the event will take shape.

selections


2 VOLPINO

(rp – $8.00)

2nd @ $3.15p (quinella with 12 @ $49.55)

4 TOP LAURELS

(rp – $4.00)

6th

12 IMPERIAL CONCORDE

(rp – $8.00)

1st @ $12.75 & $3.15

5 MONGOLIAN LEGEND

(rp – $7.00)

9th

strategy


2 VOLPINO

WIN (1.5 units)

12 IMPERIAL CONCORDE

WIN (1.5 units)

speed


There should be a decent amount of speed and pressure in this race with ELITE BOY contesting the lead alongside MY ALLY and TANG FLEMING. VIVA COUNCIL will also work to find a forward spot and UNICRON JEWELLERY is likely to be in the first half of the field in the running as well.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)