R6 KWU TUNG HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M43) - Saturday, 2 February 2019

15:35 HK TIME

summary


This is an uninspiring all-weather event over the 1,650m but the step up to a mile might suit maiden JOYFUL CONTENDER. This Richard Gibson-trained galloper should settle on the speed and he handles the surface well enough, although he isn’t an overly confident selection. GOOD FIT is racing well but he has had the race shape to suit on his last couple and delivered a win and second accordingly. If the pace is strong enough then he can figure again, but the map says that is unlikely and they won’t go much of a gallop. I’m not really sure what to do with REMARKABLE now; he had a bit of an excuse last time but didn’t seem to have a great deal to offer anyway. He hasn’t progressed quite as high as I though he might, but his best is good enough for here if he can find it. ALCAZAR could be looking for a drop in class, but with a light weight and with the prospect of a “cheap run”, he might be able to figure in the finish. ENFOLDING and RADIANT BUNNY come through the same race (335) at their respective last starts, but their form hasn’t exactly been reliable. KING’S MAN continues to run well on the dirt and can do so again, but overall it’s a race I’m happier to watch or play with restraint.

selections


6 JOYFUL CONTENDER

(rp – $6.00)

8th

3 GOOD FIT

(rp – $7.50)

1st @ $4.55 & $1.85

11 ALCAZAR

(rp – $10.00)

3rd @ $2.55p

2 KINGS MAN

(rp – $9.00)

5th

8 RADIANT BUNNY

(rp – $12.00)

12th

strategy


NO OUTLAY RECOMMENDED

speed


There doesn’t look to be much pace in this race at all. ART OF RAW can be asked to lead with JOYFUL CONTENDER and LOTUS BREEZE other runners that can be pushed forward. There’s a decent chance of a mid-race move from a rider or two here given the distinct lack of speed on paper.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)