R5 LONG VALLEY HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M43) - Saturday, 2 February 2019

15:00 HK TIME

summary


There is a bet in this event, HURRICANE HUNTER. He was super impressive when winning a C5 earlier this preparation and then endured a luckless run on his following outing over this course and distance. Hurricane Hunter can atone this time and will be reasonable odds with CHAIRMAN LO likely to attract plenty of support on the back of two solid runs early in his career. Speaking of Chairman Lo, he was a beaten odds-on favourite last time and it was a sound run that rated okay, but with top weight this afternoon, from a middle draw he won’t necessarily have all favours. He has been a bit slow to muster in two starts thus far, however in a race devoid of speed Moreira might be able to quickly work forward into a good position? FUN TIMES comes through a good form reference when runner up behind subsequent winner Picken (Race 277), with third-placed Care Free Prince also scoring since. The son of Savabeel might just be looking for a touch more ground or blinkers to sharpen him up. FAMILY LEADER drops back to 1,400m following a sound performance behind Clear Choice over the “Valley mile”. He has shown promise in a handful of starts and rates amongst the leading chances. I’m happy to outlay on Hurricane Hunter here though and given the short-price for Chairman Lo there’s some value in quinellas with Fun Times and Family Leader.

From Sweet In Defeat:

HURRICANE HUNTER

selections


10 HURRICANE HUNTER

(rp – $3.20)

2nd @ $1.30p

1 CHAIRMAN LO

(rp – $4.00)

8th

9 FUN TIMES

(rp – $7.00)

4th

6 FAMILY LEADER

(rp – $8.50)

3rd @ $2.00p

strategy


10 HURRICANE HUNTER

WIN (6.5 units)

10 with 6 & 9

QUINELLA (0.75 unit each, 1.5 units total)

speed


There isn’t much pace on paper here with MEGATRON a good chance to work forward to lead from FAMILY LEADER. CHAIRMAN LO might be asked to press forward and HURRICANE HUNTER might taken a position a pair or two closer than in recent starts.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)