R6 THE HONG KONG CLUB CHALLENGE CUP HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M42) - Wednesday, 30 January 2019

21:45 HK TIME

summary


This might be a race to wager around the likely short-priced favourite RED WARRIOR. There’s no major knock on the favourite, we made him a bet last time and he has been holding his form well, but he looks like he’s going to come up under the odds. WINNING FAITH, who comes from the same race, is a better option and likely to be a far better price. Winning Faith sustained an excellent final-600m and posted the sixth-best final-200m (11.45) at the meeting when he last raced. It was a sterling effort and he looks ready to win. The major concern for him though is his racing pattern and the fact that there doesn’t look to be much speed at all on paper. FAST MOST FURIOUS hasn’t had the rub of the green lately but his efforts have contained merit and I like the booking of Zac Purton. Fast Most Furious operates well around the Valley and is also worth wagering. CIRCUIT GLORY will work forward and can run well with the claim helping his cause. He is more than capable and maps to get a soft lead so could steal the race if rated accordingly. The main outlay is with Winning Faith though and Fast Most Furious.

*note WINNING FAITH has been late-scratched and rp’s have been adjusted accordingly.

selections


7 WINNING FAITH

(rp – $4.20)

LATE-SCRATCHED

3 RED WARRIOR

(rp – $4.50)

(rp – $3.20)

1st @ $1.80 & 1.15 ($2.30 best corporate)

4 FAST MOST FURIOUS

(rp – $6.00)

(rp – $4.50)

6th

5 CIRCUIT GLORY

(rp – $12.00)

(rp – $9.00)

2nd @ $3.10p (quinella with 3 @ $10.05)

strategy


7 WINNING FAITH

WIN (3.5 units) LATE-SCRATCHED

4 FAST MOST FURIOUS

WIN (2.5 units)

5 CIRCUIT GLORY

WIN (1 unit)

speed


There’s not an abundance of speed on paper here with CIRCUIT GLORY likely to be a largely uncontested leader. GLORIOUS ARTIST can also be sent forward with PACKING DRAGON and RED WARRIOR situated just behind this pair.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)