R5 CONNAUGHT HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M42) - Wednesday, 30 January 2019

21:15 HK TIME

summary


SMART LEADER shapes up to be a good bet in this event. He conceded far too much ground on his last outing when flashing home over 1,400m at Sha Tin, but it was a good run for fifth and he looks ready to win. Since his last outing, Smart Leader has won a dirt trial and went well in that. He should get the right trip from barrier 5 and is one of the better bets on the card. STAR MAJESTIC brings in the same formline from Race 320, went nicely in the same trial too and the Valley specialist must be kept safe. The steady tempo didn’t suit ENCOURAGING who has really impressed since joining John Moore. The apprentice’s claim will help and it is hard to knock his recent form also. STARLIT KNIGHT simply went too hard in the lead last time, but he might lead again and if he is rated better than last start then he will take some catching. Smart Leader is the main bet here, Star Majestic is also at an appealing price and you should consider quinella options around these two runners as well.

selections


3 SMART LEADER

(rp – $3.20)

12th

2 STAR MAJESTIC

(rp – $5.50)

10th

12 STARLIT KNIGHT

(rp – $9.00)

6th

1 ENCOURAGING

(rp – $5.50)

1st @ $4.85 & $2.05

strategy


3 SMART LEADER

WIN (6 units)

2 STAR MAJESTIC

WIN (3 units)

3 with 2

QUINELLA (1 unit)

3 with 12

QUINELLA (0.5 unit)

speed


STARLIT KNIGHT can lead this event at a GOOD speed from ENCOURAGING and SMART LEADER. LUCKY GIRL maps well with WITNESS HUNTER unlikely to be far away.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)