R2 LAMBETH HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M42) - Wednesday, 30 January 2019

19:45 HK TIME

summary


This race looks a good opportunity for JOLLY BOUNTIFUL to land back in the winner’s enclosure. He has been holding his form relatively well and really doesn’t need to improve on those recent efforts to be winning here, although with Size and Moreira, he is likely to come up shorter in the market than he should be. Nonetheless, he is a deserved favourite and when the blinkers went on last start, they had the desired effect. A clear case can be made for LETSGOFREE. He too should get a good run and there is nothing wrong with his recent form. He is well-weighted and providing he gets the breaks when he needs to late in the race, he can test the favourite. Another runner dropping back in trip is CHAPARRAL STAR. He has posted some figures that are good enough to win this event. He could be a good value play but will need some luck from a wide gate. There’s enough pace on paper, but a strong tempo for him to sprint off would be best. Not much else makes appeal. Given the short early price for Jolly Bountiful, Letsgofree and Chaparral Star are worth backing for small units to win.

selections


1 JOLLY BOUNTIFUL

(rp – $2.70)

5th

11 LETSGOFREE

(rp – $5.50)

8th

8 CHAPARRAL STAR

(rp – $7.00)

3rd @ $1.90p

strategy


11 LETSGOFREE

WIN (small units)

8 CHAPARRAL STAR

WIN (smaller units)

speed


I expect the speed to be at least GOOD here with EXCEPTIONAL DESIRE leading alongside SKY TREASURE who will work across from barrier 10. STAR SUPERIOR hand HAPPY COOPERATION have speed to be used with JOLLY BOUNTIFUL asked to muster and hold a forward spot from barrier 1.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)