best selections and strategies


Happy Valley (M42) - Wednesday, 30 January 2019

22 units - > 18.5 units Strategy

best outlay


RACE 5

3 SMART LEADER (rp – $3.20)

WIN (6 units)

2 STAR MAJESTIC (rp – $5.50)

WIN (3 units)

3 with 2

QUINELLA (1 unit)

3 with 12

QUINELLA (0.5 unit)

Race 5 is the one I’m most looking forward to betting into, primarily around two horses, SMART LEADER and STAR MAJESTIC. Smart Leader looks well set for this following his last start where he hit the line very strongly after getting back from the widest barrier. He’ll sit a lot closer today and the booking of Purton significant. Star Majestic is a horse that generally gets back, so will need a few favours, however looks primed and well placed also. STARLIT KNIGHT might get an easier time on the lead tonight and is a horse to include in a quinella.

Results: 12th (-6 units) + 10th (-3 units) + (-1.5 units) -> (-10.5 units)

NEXT BEST OUTLAYS


RACE 6

7 WINNING FAITH (rp – $4.20) 

WIN (3.5 units) LATE-SCRATCHED

4 FAST MOST FURIOUS (rp – $6.00)

WIN (2.5 units)

5 CIRCUIT GLORY (rp – $12.00)

WIN (1 unit)

Red Warrior is one of the horses to beat in the sixth, however he seems far too short in early betting. This leaves plenty of percentage for backing others outside of him to win with WINNING FAITH the best of these for me, from FAST MOST FURIOUS and CIRCUIT GLORY. Winning Faith continues to perform well and is drawn to possibly sit a pair or two closer than recent starts. Fast Most Furious is drawn to get a soft run and Circuit Glory is capable of stealing this race from the front if nothing else pressures it.

*note WINNING FAITH was late-scratched.

Results: 6th (-2.5 units) + 2nd (-1 unit) -> (-3.5 units)

RACE 4

4 CHAMPION’S WAY (rp – $3.70)

WIN (4.5 units)

In an event that lacks depth I’ve seen enough in trials and work from John Size’s CHAMPION’S WAY to say that he can run well first time to the races. The main chances Super Lucky and The Createth have tricky draws to overcome and don’t map ideally so whilst a tad speculative, I’m happy to back Champion’s Way to win at his early price.

Result: 1st @ $4.00 best corporate (+13.5 units)

Overall result for 18.5 units strategy


-0.5 UNITS  (2.7% LOSS)

The heavy rain during the Sha Tin program really influenced the track, it was a huge advantage to be racing close to the rail and on the speed.

Have Fun Together ran an enormous race all things considered. He missed the kick by a couple of lengths before getting held up at the top of the straight, and made huge ground late and wide on the track.

Superich was brilliant and he looks a galloper with a lot of promise. He maintained a wide run and was powerful through the line. Noble Steed also did a good job to finish second, he’s got points in hand for the new season.

Shining On and Sunshine Holiday never really got into the race given how the track played.

So that brings to an end season 2017/18. Congratulations to John Size, Champion Trainer and Zac Purton, Champion Jockey for their achievements through out the term. It will certainly be a different landscape with Joao Moreira leaving to Japan and I look forward to unlocking plenty of winners factoring-in next season’s crop of jockeys!

Thanks for following Hutchi’s Honkers through out Hong Kong season 2017/18! It was satisfying to turn a seasonal profit, that was the goal and even though it wasn’t large, for bigger players who are able to earn rebates via their respective agencies, it’s been significant.

Cheers

 

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)