R7 THE CENTENARY VASE HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M41) - Sunday, 27 January 2019

16:05 HK TIME

summary


The Centenary Vase is a domestic Group 3 handicap and is highlighted by the clash of HKIR Vase winner EXULTANT and the HKIR Cup winner GLORIOUS FOREVER and third placegetter TIME WARP. Naturally, the class gallopers have the weight to carry but deservedly so. It is a tricky race to wager in because Time Warp and Glorious Forever are both relatively one-dimensional in that they like to lead and are most effective when allowed to race on those terms. Who leads here is a bit of a guess, however I would imagine Tony Cruz might instruct Vincent Ho to pour on the pressure with Time Warp, thereby removing the threat of Glorious Forever and consequently, Exultant becoming the beneficiary. Any one of these three can win on their best figures under the right conditions, so this event is as much about predicting the tactics as trying to find the best horse. The map is the key to this event.

selections


2 EXULTANT

(rp – $3.50)

1st @ $2.35 & $1.25 ($3.30 best corporate)

1 TIME WARP

(rp – $6.00)

9th

3 GLORIOUS FOREVER

(rp – $5.00)

8th

strategy


2 EXULTANT

WIN (4.5 units)

speed


I expect a decent dual in the early stages between TIME WARP and GLORIOUS FOREVER. How long this lasts will of course heavily influence the final outcome of the race. PINGWU SPARK can sit behind those with INSAYSHABLE.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)