R8 TAI HANG TUNG HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M40) - Wednesday, 23 January 2019

22:50 HK TIME

summary


There seems like there is a decent win bet in the last here with FEARLESS FIRE, who steps up to the mile for the first time. The English import has been competitive over 2000m in his country of origin and now that he has hit form, he looks one to follow up to the Valley 1650m. He needs to raise the bar a touch, but looks capable of doing so as long as the tempo of the race is genuine – which I expect it to be. RACING LUCK was well-named with his win last time, but his ability to take the gaps when they appeared was noteworthy and he is clearly thriving at the moment. BANK ON RED has come up very short in early betting, he had excuses two starts ago and last time didn’t get all favours either – he does look a touch over bet though? Bank On Red maps nicely though which is a major positive and it’s hard to imagine Moreira getting outridden three times in a row on a single horse! ARCADA was given a terrible ride last time when fourth to Racing Luck. If he gets any sort of ride here, he has legitimate claims and is a top chance in an intriguing race.

selections


5 FEARLESS FIRE

(rp – $3.70)

3rd @ $1.60p (trifecta/tierce with 4 & 10 @ $39.20)

10 ARCADA

(rp – $4.80)

2nd @ $1.70p (quinella with 4 @ $7.80)

4 BANK ON RED

(rp – $5.00)

1st @ $3.20 & $1.50 ($3.60 best corporate)

3 RACING LUCK

(rp – $7.00)

5th

strategy


5 FEARLESS FIRE

WIN (6 units)

speed


TANG FLEMING can lead this race from HAPPY SPIRIT and TRAVEL FIRST. THUNDER STOMP has speed that might be used to find a forward spot from ARCADA and BANK ON RED

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)