R6 SO KON PO HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M40) - Wednesday, 23 January 2019

21:45 HK TIME

summary


This is a thin race overall and there’s really only one runner I’m interested in, MUSIC ADDITION. The son of Your Song was a bet for us last start and he clearly had excuses for his defeat from a wide barrier draw. Music Addition should get a much better run this time from a low draw and he arguably has more upside than most others he competes against here. He has been given a bit of time to get over that hard run, and moved stylishly in a recent trial. MR PICASSO is well exposed and probably close to being on his mark but he has reasonable claims for him to be able to figure again back to the Valley 1200m. BLOCKER DEE can challenge for the lead and should run be contending for a fair way but once again, unless the gear change sparks some improvement it is hard to make a really strong case for him. MEGA HEART has had his share of issues but isn’t the worst chance against this line up. I’m happy to be playing Music Addition here however.

selections


4 MUSIC ADDITION

(rp – $4.60)

1st @ $3.45 & $1.45 ($4.20 & $1.80 best corporate)

7 BLOCKER DEE

(rp – $5.50)

5th

11 MR PICASSO

(rp – $7.50)

9th

5 MEGA HEART

(rp – $12.00)

8th

strategy


4 MUSIC ADDITION

WIN & PLACE (2.5 x 5 units)

speed


There isn’t a great deal of speed here with BLOCKER DEE and KA YING LEGEND the most likely leaders in the race. Moreira may well be positive on Sir Redalot and punch forward from barrier 10 with MUSIC ADDITION getting a sweet run just behind the main speed

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)