R3 SHAM SHUI PO HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M40) - Wednesday, 23 January 2019

20:15 HK TIME

summary


I can see there being quite good pace in this event and it might set up nicely for those midfield or worse. GOLDEN CANNON has been unlucky not to win his last two starts but his pattern of getting back and needing luck in the running has worked against him (as it does). In defeat he still closed very well last time (11.32 final-200m which was the 12th-best of the meeting) off a solid pace and there was plenty of merit in the run. Golden Cannon can win here, but once again, he will need his share of luck. DASHING DART has had his own hard luck stories of late, last time being checked and then making an early move. If LE PEGASE can attain the right run then a series of his recent efforts have been good enough for him to go very close in this one. The best value ‘over’ might well be Master Bernini. He has posted better figures than most competing here, has had a stable change, and his recent barrier trial for the new yard (Ferraris) was very good. Small outlays on Golden Cannon and Master Bernini are where I’m leaning for this.

selections


11 GOLDEN CANNON

(rp – $3.80)

1st @ $4.90 & $1.80

2 DASHING DART

(rp – $4.50)

2nd @ $2.10p (quinella with 11 @ $15.05)

9 LE PEGASE

(rp – $8.00)

7th

5 MASTER BERNINI

(rp – $8.00)

11th

strategy


11 GOLDEN CANNON

WIN (small units)

5 MASTER BERNINI

WIN (smaller units)

speed


MY BLESSING can work to the lead with LUCKY STORM and ROMANTIC JOURNEY providing some competition. LE PEGASE can sit close to the lead with WONDERFUL TIGER and ROOKIE STAR drawn to track those

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)