R5 THE CENTENARY SPRINT CUP

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Sha Tin (M39) - Sunday, 20 January 2019

15:00 HK TIME

summary


The Group 1 Centenary Sprint Cup is almost a renewal of the Hong Kong International Sprint with the first-four horses past the post clashing again. D B PIN is probably the one that could have made some progress out of that race and he should have gone close that day but for being held-up at a key stage. BEAT THE CLOCK was game in defeat on that occasion and he could map better this time, as in the International Sprint he was awkwardly placed three-wide and beyond midfield. Moreira might try and get the one-one here and make it difficult for MR STUNNING. That said, Beat The Clock often doesn’t show his dazzling sprint when used to hold position in the first half of his races, so I’m not sure how much he’ll be pushed. The positive is that an expected slow speed will very much aid Beat The Clock as there are few with a sharper 200m sprint in Hong Kong than him. MR STUNNING is going to be hard to beat, especially if Teetan gets a similar run to last time. However, there is a lack of pace here so a major question is the map and who leads? Mr Stunning has been jumping well so it’s not inconceivable that they’ll bite the bullet and try to control things, however FIFTY FIFTY is the horse that might be pushed. They had been riding him to settle in an attempt to stretch him over a mile, but with that behind them reverting to being positive is possible. STYLING CITY is an up-and-comer, but off my figures he has a bit much to find at this stage. This Group 1 will be quite tactical, and with little separating the first four, the best ride might win it. For that reason I won’t be outlaying big units, but early prices dictate an each way speck on D B PIN.

selections


2 D B PIN

(rp – $3.60)

7th

1 MR STUNNING

(rp – $3.20)

2nd @ $1.15p (quinella with 3 @ $2.95)

3 BEAT THE CLOCK

(rp – $4.80)

1st @ $3.15 & $1.15 ($4.00 best corporate)

strategy


2 D B PIN

WIN & PLACE (2 x 4)

speed


It’s not easy to predict the overall speed here, but I’d be surprised if they went quickly. FIFTY FIFTY can lead from D B PIN and MR STUNNING in what will be a race of tactics. LITTLE GIANT could secure the run of the race from barrier 3.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)