R4 THE TUNG WAH GROUP OF HOSPITALS CHALLENGE CUP
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Sha Tin (M39) - Sunday, 20 January 2019
14:30 HK TIME
summary
There could be a bet here with EPTIWINS. The early markets have him pretty close to my rated price, so it looks like we just might be able to ‘get on’. I like the move up to 1,200m for Eptiwins, he is drawn nicely for Hugh Bowman and as a consequence I trust that he can settle closer in the running. The lightly-raced galloper has only had two career starts and looks promising, albeit meeting a field today that has a number of sparingly-raced gallopers with potential upside. That said, FULL OF BEAUTY will be hard to beat. His debut win rated well and with natural (and expected) improvement he will sit close to the lead, even from barrier 11, and won’t be easy to run down. FABULOUS EIGHT finished alongside Eptiwins at his last outing and has obvious claims. He gets a 2.5kg swing in his favour this time, which is clearly a positive thing. CRAIG’S STAR and CHARIZARD both put in creditable runs behind subsequent winner Speedy Dragon last time they competed (Race 293), with the former drawing handily again to get an economical run. There are some promising types in this one, but I’m happy to be with Eptiwins primarily.
selections
4 EPTIWINS
(rp – $3.50)
6th
2 FULL OF BEAUTY
(rp – $2.50)
1st @ $2.40 & $1.20 ($2.70 best corporate)
5 FABULOUS EIGHT
(rp – $10.00)
12th
7 CRAIG’S STAR
(rp – $12.00)
2nd @ $1.50p (quinella with 2 @ $5.90)
strategy
4 EPTIWINS
WIN (4 units)
2 & 4
QUINELLA (1.5 units)
speed
The pace should be GOOD here with YEE CHEONG PEGASUS one of the pace influences along with FULL OF BEAUTY and FABULOUS EIGHT. COOLCELEB can also go forward from a wide draw, while CRAIG’S STAR could be asked to hold a handy position from an inside draw.
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