R1 BONHAM HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M39) - Sunday, 20 January 2019

13:00 HK TIME

summary


There isn’t a great deal of pace in this opening race, but what there is, has drawn high. From a ratings perspective it is quite a competitive event on paper as well. PICKEN is hard to oppose from the point of view that his last two wins have been particularly tough given he has worked very hard through the first half of those races and still managed to fight and win. If he could get a softer time early, then he can win again and is the horse to beat, although he seems short enough in early betting. CARE FREE PRINCE finished third to him the last time they clashed (Race 277) and meets him 6.5kg better. If he can come across cheaply from barrier 13, he is going to run a bold race and is capable of challenging at odds. WIN WIN ran well on debut when second to Pearl Champion and he is obviously open to a fair amount of improvement. He is a genuine contender and should map to get an economical run. GUY DRAGON is another who created a positive impression on his debut when fourth to subsequent winner Tornado Twist. He closed with similar late splits to the winner and warrants respect although it’s hard to know where he’ll position-up during the running? ENJOY LIFE had the pattern and tempo against him when fourth to Happy Force last start and the form out of that race has worked out very well (Right Choice has won since). All-in-all, this is a handy Class 4 and I’m happy to have small outlays on Win Win and Enjoy Life at their odds.

selections


2 PICKEN

(rp – $3.50)

2nd @ $1.20p (quinella with 14 @ $20.60)

6 WIN WIN

(rp – $5.00)

6th

7 ENJOY LIFE

(rp – $6.00)

9th

14 CARE FREE PRINCE

(rp – $10.00)

1st @ $17.60 & $4.30 ($20.00 best corporate)

4 GUY DRAGON

(rp – $12.00)

7th

strategy


6 WIN WIN

WIN (small units)

7 ENJOY LIFE

WIN (small units)

speed


There is not much pace on paper here with PICKEN and CARE FREE PRINCE capable of working across the field from their wide barriers to lead. RULETHEROOST and BLIZZING AWAY are drawn to sit closer to the main speed and KHAKI could also be asked to go forward from his wide alley.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)