R8 SPORTS ROAD HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M38) - Wednesday, 16 January 2019

22:50 HK TIME

summary


This is a lot more competitive race than the market would suggest. GREEN LUCK and HAPPY DRAGON are deservedly in the market as they have been posting some impressive figures and performing well. The blinkers going on Green Luck might just get him to find that bit of improvement required to break out of this grade. Happy Dragon has an awkward draw, will need a good ride from there and I’m not so sure he will get all favours. Even though he is a leading contender, I don’t think he’s any value below $6.00. BANK ON RED was runner-up behind Happy Dragon last time after enduring anything but a smooth run through the race. He will make it a lot more interesting but will also need some luck from a wide draw. However, there looks one horse in particular at an excellent price here, STARLIT KNIGHT. The unfashionable Jack Wong will ride the horse, but I believe the pair has serious claims. If the local rider can rate Starlit Knight appropriately then he has a terrific chance to land the spoils at lucrative odds. The horse can over-race a touch, but if he settles during the running then the level he delivered last start when winning would be enough to make him a real contender given his light weight. NORDIC WARRIOR comes through a strong Griffin Trophy, and was a winner at Happy Valley earlier this term. His figures are good enough to win this also; his racing pattern is just a tad problematical to be backing him with huge confidence. In an open event I’m happy to speck Starlit Knight and have small quinella place/duet outlays with him and three other runners Bank On Red, Nordic Warrior and Green Luck.

selections


11 STARLIT KNIGHT

(rp – $7.50)

3rd @ $3.50p (quinella place/duet with 2 @ $10.35)

7 BANK ON RED

(rp – $6.00)

9th

10 NORDIC WARRIOR

(rp – $11.00)

8th

2 GREEN LUCK

(rp – $5.00)

2nd @ $1.35p

3 HAPPY DRAGON

(rp – $6.00)

4th

strategy


11 STARLIT KNIGHT

WIN (2.5 units)

11 with 2, 7, 10

QUINELLA PLACE/DUET (1 unit each, 3 units total)

speed


There’s not much speed expected here with RELENTLESS ME, SPIRIT and STARLIT KNIGHT the main pace influences. GREEN LUCK maps to get a decent sit behind these horses.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)