best selections and strategies
Happy Valley (M38) - Wednesday, 16 January 2019
30 units Strategy
best outlay
RACE 3
6 GLORY STAR (rp – $2.80)
WIN (7.5 units)
6 with 3 & 4
QUINELLA (1 unit each, 2 units total)
GLORY STAR continues to race in excellent form and he can continue off his last start performance he can deliver another win tonight. He maps well again and whilst leading is good, it’s not necessary if others want to take him on in front. CHAMPION SUPREME and FAMILY LEADER are good quinella options with Glory Star.
Result: 5th (-7.5 units) + 7th & 4th (-2 units) -> (-9.5 units)
NEXT BEST OUTLAYS
RACE 6
7 GAMECHANGERS (rp – $3.50)
WIN (5.5 units)
10 WALDORF (rp – $4.50)
WIN (4 units)
GAMECHANGERS didn’t have much luck at all last start, but I expect that he’ll go close to atoning tonight. The race shape should suit both him and WALDORF and they are two plays that I’m happy to recommend which go against Seven Heavens, the market elect.
Results: 1st @ $4.70 best corporate (+20.35 units) + 2nd (-4 units) -> (+16.35 units)
RACE 7
12 NOBLE DELIGHT (rp – $4.50)
WIN (4 units)
7 BUOYANT BOY (rp – $10.00)
WIN (1.5 units)
NOBLE DELIGHT takes a rise in grade and can be very competitive with a light weight. Again the map looks like it will suit him and he presents as reasonable overs. BUOYANT BOY is a big price and I like the numbers he’s been putting up in defeat. He should be specked at odds.
Results: 10th (-4 units) + 6th (-1.5 units) -> (-5.5 units)
RACE 8
11 STARLIT KNIGHT (rp – $7.50)
WIN (2.5 units)
11 with 2, 7, 10
QUINELLA PLACE/DUET (1 unit each, 3 units total)
The last is a more competitive event than the early markets suggest. STARLIT KNIGHT is at a huge quote and I think he can run well if he can settle okay on or close to the speed. Other runners to consider given their price (as a result of Happy Dragon being short) include GREEN LUCK, BANK ON RED (who gets a weight swing on Happy Dragon) and NORDIC WARRIOR.
Results: 3rd (-2.5 units) + 2nd, 9th & 8th QP/Duet 2 with 11 @ $10.35 (+7.35 units) -> (+4.85 units)
Overall result for 30 units strategy
+6.2 UNITS (21% PROFIT)
The heavy rain during the Sha Tin program really influenced the track, it was a huge advantage to be racing close to the rail and on the speed.
Have Fun Together ran an enormous race all things considered. He missed the kick by a couple of lengths before getting held up at the top of the straight, and made huge ground late and wide on the track.
Superich was brilliant and he looks a galloper with a lot of promise. He maintained a wide run and was powerful through the line. Noble Steed also did a good job to finish second, he’s got points in hand for the new season.
Shining On and Sunshine Holiday never really got into the race given how the track played.
So that brings to an end season 2017/18. Congratulations to John Size, Champion Trainer and Zac Purton, Champion Jockey for their achievements through out the term. It will certainly be a different landscape with Joao Moreira leaving to Japan and I look forward to unlocking plenty of winners factoring-in next season’s crop of jockeys!
Thanks for following Hutchi’s Honkers through out Hong Kong season 2017/18! It was satisfying to turn a seasonal profit, that was the goal and even though it wasn’t large, for bigger players who are able to earn rebates via their respective agencies, it’s been significant.
Cheers
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SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:
88
MEETINGS - SEASONS END
2485
TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS
+39.8
UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)