R10 VENTRIS HANDICAP

-


Sha Tin (M37) - Saturday, 12 January 2019

17:45 HK TIME

summary


TORNADO TWIST looks the likely winner here too for Size and Moreira. He ran well on debut and was rather impressive second-up when chasing a solid tempo. There should be enough speed here, but from a low draw he shouldn’t get too far from the leaders and he is the deserved favourite. INVINCIBLE MISSILE started his career in the best manner when scoring over the course and distance in mid-December and visually it was highly impressive, whilst on the clock, it was just okay. That said, he carries 5kg less and has plenty of upside so there’s every chance he can find the necessary improvement to be a leading chance. VOLPINO was very good over the course and distance two back, so if you ignore his Happy Valley ventures, he can run a race and surprise at odds. SHIMMER AND SHINE and SPARKLING DRAGON are both having their first runs for new stable and each has moved nicely in their respective trials. Any market support would be noteworthy with both stables capable of striking early with transfers. They’ll have their work cut out beating TORNADO TWIST, with quinellas an option as well to extract a little more out of the race.

selections


14 TORNADO TWIST

(rp – $2.40)

1st @ $1.85 & $1.05 ($2.20 best corporate – post deductions)

11 SHIMMER AND SHINE

(rp – $8.00)

LATE-SCRATCHED

12 INVINCIBLE MISSILE

(rp – $9.00)

6th

3 VOLPINO

(rp – $12.00)

9th

8 SPARKLING DRAGON

(rp – $9.00)

5th

strategy


14 TORNADO TWIST

WIN (8.5 units)

14 with 3 & 11

QUINELLA (0.5 unit each, 1 0.5 unit total)

speed


I expect the pace to be on the FAST side of GOOD here with HANDSOME BO BO setting solid fractions. SPARKLING DRAGON can also go forward with VICTORY MACHINE with DOUBLE VALENTINE and FLYING MURTY being pushed to hold good positions from their respective draws as well.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)