R4 CAUSEWAY HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M36) - Wednesday, 9 January 2019

20:45 HK TIME

summary


SPECIAL STARS is going to start the shortest-priced favourite on the card and deservedly so. The rise in class is a bonus, as he gets in very well-weighted and he has struck a very weak event. In addition, he has drawn to get the run of the race from barrier 1 for Size and Moreira. It’s hard to recommend betting on him at anything less than 1.7 and it’s hard getting too bullish betting against him, however, there might be some value in snaring a quinella. E-SUPER and MEGA HEART both ran with merit over this course and distance a month ago and if they can find that form again, then they shouldn’t be far away. MOST BEAUTIFUL might appreciate coming back to 1,000m as he seemed to have his chance last time over 1200m. If playing a first four, include DEMONS ROCK. He closed well last start, hinted that he was getting closer to being more competitive and isn’t the worst chance. Don’t outlay much on this race, if at all.

selections


10 SPECIAL STARS

(rp – $1.70)

1st @ $1.30 & $1.01 ($1.60 best corporate)

2 E-SUPER

(rp – $14.00)

6th

3 MEGA HEART

(rp – $18.00)

7th

7 MOST BEAUTIFUL

(rp – $14.00)

2nd @ $1.70p (quinella with 10 @ $4.15)

8 DEMONS ROCK

(rp – $33.00)

10th

strategy


10 with 2 & 3

QUINELLA (small/part unit)

speed


FLYING BONUS can lead this event at a GOOD speed overall from GOKO. SPECIAL STARS can race handier to the lead than in recent starts from barrier 1 with E-SUPER and MOST BEAUTIFUL settling not too far away either.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)