R9 CARPENTER HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M35) - Sunday, 6 January 2019

17:10 HK TIME

summary


FOLLOW ME will be the shortest-priced favourite on the day and rightly so according to my assessment. Two starts back he was super-impressive when he won off a genuine tempo (which he should get here) and then the lack of pace went against him last time but he still closed better than anything else (22.53 race-best final-400m). He has been well-treated in the handicap for that effort and should be winning today. He’s my best of the day. VOYAGE KING (fifth), ULTIMATE GLORY (third), SUN TOUCH (ninth) and ROUNDABOUT (sixth) all have a bit to make up on that effort behind Follow Me. That said, Voyage King is capable of better after having a checkered passage. He also gets a small weight swing, which is a positive. CORDYCEPS takes a rise in grade and drops considerably in weight for today’s assignment. He can offset the wide draw with a positive move from the barriers and potential get across to an okay position following a good tempo. Cordyceps is probably the one to provide most resistance to Follow Me.

selections


12 FOLLOW ME

(rp – $1.70)

1st @ $1.50 & $1.10 ($1.80 best corporate)

14 CORDYCEPS

(rp – $9.00)

2nd @ $1.75p (quinella with 12 @ $3.75)

5 VOYAGE KING

(rp – $12.00)

11th

strategy


12 FOLLOW ME

WIN (12 units)

speed


SUN TOUCH can run along at a GOOD speed overall with FANTASTIC FABIO tracking forward too. ENDEARING and FOLLOW ME are drawn kindly and CORDYCEPS can work forward into an advantageous spot with a touch of luck.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)