R1 TAK KU LING HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M35) - Sunday, 6 January 2019

13:00 HK TIME

summary


The first race is a Class 5 on the all-weather track and ROCHFORD has come up very short in the early markets with Joao Moreira sticking with him. Rochford is obviously one of the main chances, but him being a Hong Kong maiden from 17 starts and likely to start under $3 hardly makes for an inspiring betting proposition. I think the back-up is a good move for the likes of HAPPY SOUND (seventh) and RUMINARE (third) who both ran with merit last week on the turf (race 292). The solid speed took its toll on Happy Sound who is a proven performer on this surface (dirt) and he will take some catching. The barrier hasn’t done Ruminare any favours, but given the strong tempo last week he was solid enough in defeat. MASSIVE MOVE is a multiple winner on this surface and he closed quite well down the straight course with a solid final-200m (11.88) and if he can keep tabs with the main body of the field early, then he should be working home strongly. KEEP GOING comes from the same form race (273) and he too worked home well but has even less early speed. That all said, the best play in this event might be SCARBOROUGH FAIR. HIs last two runs have clearly been his best, he simply worked too hard last start in a swoopers race and all things considered, if he can settle handy then he will take some reeling in. When he competed on the AWT earlier this season, he was no match for the leader and winner on a rails bias track, but still ran okay. He finished ahead of M Reborn and Ever Strong who have both won since. Meanwhile, JIMSON THE FAMOUS stayed on well in a low rating race at his last outing.

selections


9 SCARBOROUGH FAIR

(rp – $6.00)

8th

3 MASSIVE MOVE

(rp – $7.00)

5th

7 ROCHFORD

(rp – $4.50)

3rd @ $1.30p

5 HAPPY SOUND

(rp – $9.00)

7th

strategy


9 SCARBOROUGH FAIR

WIN (small units)

2 MASSIVE MOVE

WIN (small units)

5 HAPPY SOUND

WIN (small units)

speed


HAPPY SOUND can lead this event at a GOOD speed overall from ROCHFORD and SCARBOROUGH FAIR. MONEY MARSHAL potentially gets an economical run behind this speed.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)