R10 LIN FA SHAN HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M34) - Tuesday, 1 January 2019

17:10 HK TIME

summary


This is a competitive race with a number of runners that make appeal. VINCY comes through a strong form race (Mr So And So, Taking Aim and Dances With Dragon) and considering it was his debut, he deserves plenty of respect. He will strip fitter, should appreciate the move up to a mile and if he improves as much as Dark Dream did for the yard second-up then lookout! NICCONI EXPRESS had every possible chance when attaining a soft lead last time and perhaps he too is looking for the mile, although his final-200m (ranked 13 in that race) was a concern. However, he still should be kept safe along with NOBLE STEED, was no match for the winner (Encouraging) last time, but stepping up to the mile looks as though it will suit him. All that said, PAKISTAN FRIEND is still the one to stick with. I don’t mind the wide gate as he will work forward anyway and he continues to raise to bar. De Sousa rode him a treat last time and if he can deliver a similar run then he will be the hardest to beat here.

selections


8 PAKISTAN FRIEND

(rp – $4.20)

3rd @ $1.40p (trifecta/tierce with 7 & 5 @ $29.10)

5 VINCY

(rp – $4.50)

2nd @ $1.55p (quinella with 7 @ $6.25)

6 NOBLE STEED

(rp – $7.00)

4th (quartet/first-four with 7, 5 & 8 @ $74.40)

7 NICCONI EXPRESS

(rp – $7.00)

1st @ $3.20 & $1.40

strategy


8 PAKISTAN FRIEND

WIN (4 units)

5 VINCY

WIN (4 units)

speed


I expect a GOOD speed overall here with NICCONI EXPRESS, GO BEAUTY GO and PAKISTAN FRIEND all contesting the lead early on. TURF SPRINT and GREEN DISPATCH are drawn to track the main speed with VINCY and AMAZING SATCHMO just forward of midfield.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)