R5 SHA TIN RACECOURSE 40TH ANNIVERSARY CUP (HCP)

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Sha Tin (M33) - Saturday, 29 December 2018

15:00 HK TIME

summary


CALIFORNIA ARCHER is yet to win a race locally but his effort when second to subsequent winner Telecom Brothers had a fair bit of merit to it and this looks a good opportunity for him to post his first Hong Kong win. There simply isn’t much depth to this race and a positive ride should see him fighting out the finish. DIAMOND DRAGON ran a decent seventh behind Styling City beaten 2¼ lengths, with the latter going on to win again, as did Racing Fighter out of race 184. Diamond Dragon doesn’t have a great racing pattern however and will need to be picking a path late. Speaking of Styling City, HAPPY VICTORY makes his Hong Kong debut having run alongside the aforementioned horse for much of a Sha Tin 1000m trial. Happy Victory beat a New Zealand Group 1 winner (Embellish) when he debuted as a two-year-old there and has shown some ability. I would prefer to see him, but any market moves following his parade might be telling. I AM POWER hasn’t competed since mid-October but he performed quite well at his only Hong Kong start on the all-weather and he seems to have some ability based on a trial seven weeks ago. SHINING GEM (Run Naan ex. McEvoy in Australia) makes his debut in Hong Kong and the Group 3 winner has looked okay in work but will derive benefit from the run I’m sure. CALIFORNIA ARCHER is the horse to beat here though.

selections


3 CALIFORNIA ARCHER

(rp – $2.50)

2nd @ $1.45p (quinella with 4 @ $33.60)

12 DIAMOND DRAGON

(rp – $5.50)

5th

2 HAPPY VICTORY

(rp – $7.50)

3rd @ $2.10 (trifecta/tierce with 4 & 3 @ $613.70)

4 I AM POWER

(rp – $15.00)

1st @ $18.50 & $4.70 ($26.00 best corporate)

strategy


3 CALIFORNIA ARCHER

WIN

speed


There’s decent speed here with a line of three or four expected to vie for the lead including HAPPY VICTORY, DASHING GAINER, MY BEGINNER’S LUCK and CALIFORNIA ARCHER. SHINING GEM can settle just behind those with DEMONS ROCK.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)