R4 SUN CHUI HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M33) - Saturday, 29 December 2018

14:30 HK TIME

summary


AMBITIOUS SPEEDY was excellent in defeat at his last run on a fast pace and the return to Sha Tin is a positive; he competes over a course and distance that has yielded both his career wins. He will need a touch of luck from the gate but he should be a solid each way chance in a low-grade race. NATURAL FLARE was given no chance last start when wide without cover and being asked to work hard on a fast pace. His run prior rated well clear of anything in this line up and with a softer trip here from barrier one I’m happy to have him marked as the favourite. He’ll just need some luck when looking to make his run in the straight. ROYAL PREROGATIVE comes through the same form lines (races 200 and 258) and should also be thereabouts. Zac Purton gets back aboard and he looks to find the optimal run going off my map. THE SHOW has been consistent and the horse is drawn to be given every chance again. The value in the early markets is with Natural Flare and Ambitious Speedy – they’re worth small outlays.

selections


3 NATURAL FLARE

(rp – $4.50)

6th

7 ROYAL PREROGATIVE

(rp – $6.00)

14th

9 AMBITIOUS SPEEDY

(rp – $6.50)

4th

6 THE SHOW

(rp – $7.50)

5th

strategy


3 NATURAL FLARE

WIN (small units)

9 AMBITIOUS SPEEDY

WIN (small units)

speed


Another race where there should be GOOD speed with some pace drawn out wide – TRIUMPHANT JEWEL and JOYFUL FOREVER. THE SHOW can hold a spot from barrier 4 with ROYAL PREROGATIVE capable of getting a great run behind these runners.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)