

R8 MERCURY HANDICAP
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Happy Valley (M32) - Wednesday, 26 December 2018
22:50 HK TIME
summary
This race feels like Groundhog Day! After backing TURIN REDSTAR his last three starts (and he arguably could have won all three) I am not sure I can go again, but I will! He has had a trial since his last outing six weeks ago, but the freshen-up after three hard runs I think is a good thing. He can win and his early price looks ridiculously good. RED WARRIOR was excellent in defeat last time when a touch held-up around the turn only to just fail getting the win and settling for second. Both horses have been in tremendous form this season and a solid case can be made for each. A smaller play could be VOLPINO. He moves up to the mile and his run on HKIR day was eye-catching. He defied the steady tempo but stayed on very well and the move up to a mile is ideal. GOOD OMEN has similar form to Red Warrior and isn’t the worst. The Moreira/Size combo and all ups could lead to Red Warrior coming up very short for the last. The each way outlay on Turin Redstar though looks as solid a bet as you could get in the race given prices.
selections
2 TURIN REDSTAR
(rp – $3.20)
4th
4 RED WARRIOR
(rp – $4.50)
2nd @ 1.20p
12 VOLPINO
(rp – $9.00)
8th
strategy
2 TURIN REDSTAR
WIN & PLACE (4 x 8)
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SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:
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MEETINGS - SEASONS END
2485
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