R3 NEPTUNE HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M32) - Wednesday, 26 December 2018

20:15 HK TIME

summary


The booking Of Joao Moreira on THE JOY OF GIVING will ensure he comes up short in the market but he simply should have won last time and has had excuses on a couple of other occasions this season. With even luck and pace he should prove hard to beat (Kwaichung Brothers came out of the same race to win next start). COME ON WONGCHOY was sound in defeat to Kwaichung Brothers last time over the Valley mile and the step up to 1,800m shouldn’t be an issue. TRAVEL AMBASSADOR was good when running second over this course and distance behind Smart Baby, who went on to win his next two starts. The barrier draw hasn’t done him any favours but he can run well. ROOKIE STAR had the race run to suit when beating Come On Wongchoy earlier this term and can be considered again, while the drop in grade is significant for LUCKY SHINY DAY who will need a good ride from a wide alley. The Joy Of Giving is worth betting at $3+ and a small play on Travel Ambassador is warranted.

selections


8 THE JOY OF GIVING

(rp – $3.00)

1st @ $3.85 & $1.55

4 TRAVEL AMBASSADOR

(rp – $7.00)

5th

9 COME ON WONGCHOY

(rp – $7.50)

2nd @ $2.10p (quinella with 8 @ $11.60)

1 LUCKY SHINY DAY

(rp – $8.50)

3rd @ $2.70p (trifecta/tierce with 8 & 9 @ $80.70)

strategy


8 THE JOY OF GIVING

WIN

4 TRAVEL AMBASSADOR

WIN (small units)

speed


There isn’t a great deal of speed on paper here with MY BLESSING the likely leader from COME ON WONGCHOY and HIDDEN SPIRIT. THE JOY OF GIVING might be able to secure a “one out, one back” position from barrier 7.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)