R5 TAI LONG TSUI HANDICAP

-


Sha Tin (M31) - Sunday, 23 December 2018

14:50 HK TIME

summary


This looks a thin race on paper. FLAME LILY and FUN TIMES come through the best form race (203) for this that was won convincingly by Follow Me and this does look a solid chance for Flame Lily to break through and notch his first career win. One thing to note is that he lacks gate speed so needs a genuine tempo and some luck in running. He should get the former and the benefit of drawing barrier one can naturally settle closer to the leaders whilst being likely to cover no extra distance. Much the same applies to Fun Times, although he is drawn barrier 10 so the map isn’t so kind to him. FORTUNATE RUNNER has been in solid form lately and his victory when he defeated Follow Me was excellent, so if he can find that form again then he’ll be a great chance to win again. Tactically he will need a good ride from barrier 11, but he looks as though he can win his way out of Class 4. SUPREME WITNESS just went too hard in the lead at his last outing and the fence was not the ideal spot on International Day – it was slightly “off”. He might go out a touch of overs.

selections


3 FORTUNATE RUNNER

(rp – $4.50)

4th

4 FLAME LILY

(rp – $5.00)

5th

11 FUN TIMES

(rp – $9.00)

2nd @ $3.40p

12 SUPREME WITNESS

(rp – $10.00)

11th

strategy


3 FORTUNATE RUNNER

WIN (4 units)

speed


SUPREME WITNESS can lead and with CARE FREE PRINCE and MEGATRON likely to push forward as well the overall speed should be at least GOOD and maybe a bit quicker. PICKEN is drawn to get a soft run with GREEN CARD close by.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)