R4 TAI LONG TSUI HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M31) - Sunday, 23 December 2018

14:00 HK TIME

summary


There might not be too much resistance for Happy Force to overcome to attain the lead from a wide gate in the fourth race and if he can get a soft section or two mid-race then he will be hard to catch. Last start he rolled along in a reasonable time when winning and a repeat of that scenario will take him close to doing so again with the blinkers clearly making a difference for him. However, RIGHT CHOICE scored impressively on his debut over 1,200m on the all-weather track and clearly looks like a galloper going places. The form out of his race looks sound enough (Golden Effort has won) and the switch to turf holds no issues and if anything, the rise to 1,400m is a major plus for the son of Mastercraftsman. In a race that lacks depth he will be hard to beat, it’ll be a case of where he can be positioned in the running from an awkward barrier (see map). GOOD FOR YOU is a genuine contender on the back of his second to the vastly improved galloper Glory Star (Happy Valley race 231 over 1650m) and this consistent galloper should figure in the finish in a relatively thin race. The best chance in this event at a bigger price relative to the market comes from the same race in the shape of SWOT WINDICATOR who posted the race-best final-200m of 11.54. The concern for him is that he has been plagued with health issues (a two-time bleeder) so to a large extent he must be taken on trust. CHARITY GRAND went a little better in a recent trial and given he’s lightly raced is certainly open to sharp improvement following that recommended freshen-up due to a relatively minor fetlock injury. Right Choice is the clear top-selection and main outlay here though.

selections


2 RIGHT CHOICE

(rp – $2.50)

2nd @ $1.35p (quinella with 8 @ $6.60)

8 HAPPY FORCE

(rp – $6.00)

1st @ $4.25 & $1.75 ($5.50 best corporate)

1 GOOD FOR YOU

(rp – $9.00)

9th

12 SWOT WINDICATOR

(rp – $15.00)

7th

strategy


2 RIGHT CHOICE

WIN

speed


The pace should be GOOD here with HAPPY FORCE working across from barrier 12 to lead. CASHIN MINISTER and DOMINATOR can take handy positions from WINWIN RUBY, HAPPY GUY and MICKEY RICH.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)