R2 WONG SHEK HANDICAP

-


Sha Tin (M31) - Sunday, 23 December 2018

13:00 HK TIME

summary


There is hardly any pace in this event at all. PO CHING TREASURE backs up from a win last week where he dictated the speed and he might be able to do the same again. Overall his chances will hinge on how much pressure is applied during the running and I suspect there might well be a midrace move. BRING IT ON maps well, has regularly posted figures that give him a great chance to post his second career win in HK, but that is the concern, he has a short sprint and a poor winning rate. The best value chance in the second race is AMAZING AGILITY, who although was well beaten by Ho Ho Khan comes from a solid form reference and his final-200m (11.49) was the race-best. Amazing Agility drops in grade, will need a little more tempo than I envisage, but at least he will be at a decent price to take a chance on. HAPPY ROCKY is racing well, we made him an each way play last time and although he is marginally better at the city course, he can run well against this opposition and warrants inclusion. GOOD DAYS has to carry top weight but has proven to be rather consistent and he will appreciate coming back to Sha Tin. I’m happy though that Amazing Agility is a very good each way outlay.

selections


1 AMAZING AGILITY

(rp – $7.00)

9th

4 BRING IT ON

(rp – $5.00)

1st @ $3.80 & $1.75

2 GOOD DAYS

(rp – $6.00)

7th

7 HAPPY ROCKY

(rp – $7.50)

5th

3 PO CHING TREASURE

(rp – $12.00)

3rd @ $5.00p

strategy


1 AMAZING AGILITY

WIN & PLACE

speed


The pace isn’t likely to be very strong early with PO CHING TREASURE setting the speed. ISHVARA, GOOD DAYS and BRING IT ON can settle in the first half of the field. There might be a mid-race move made here given the lack of tempo on paper.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)