best selections and strategies


Sha Tin (M31) - Sunday, 23 December 2018

38 units Strategy

best outlay


RACE 7

6 HARMONY VICTORY (rp – $2.50)

WIN (9 units)

HARMONY VICTORY has run three excellent races in Hong Kong and looks a leading HK Derby contender at this early stage. Whilst he’s probably best being allowed to find his feet a little bit early, he’s drawn to get a soft run through out and should be too strong sprinting late.

Result: 5th (-9 units)

NEXT BEST OUTLAYS


RACE 6

6 WHAT A LEGEND (rp – $3.00)

WIN (7 units)

6 & 10

QUINELLA (1 unit)

WHAT A LEGEND’S debut down the straight was very eye-catching and he put an excellent run-home on the board. He should be able to settle closer to the front than his main rival TORNADO TWIST and beat him home. The latter is also coming off a good debut and can be taken in a quinella with What A Legend.

Result: 5th (-7 units) + 1st (-1 unit) -> (-8 units)

RACE 8

9 KASI FARASI (rp – $3.50)

WIN (6.5 units)

7 PERFECT BUDDY (rp – $14.00)

WIN (1 unit) PLACE (2 units)

9 with 5, 7, 12

QUINELLA PLACE/DUET (0.5 unit each, 1.5 units total)

KASI FARASI rates the horse to beat in race 8 for me and as a result of the Size-trained runner coming up short is a great price. Kais Farasi’s two starts for Jimmy Ting have been good and he should be ready to put in a peak performance third-up. PERFECT BUDDY is another at a massive price and even though I’m operating off only one Hong Kong run, he showed more than enough to suggest he’ll go around at too big a price and will be worth an outlay.

Result: 9th (-6.5 units) + 13th (-3 units), 5th & 10th (-1.5 units) -> (-11 units)

RACE 5

3 FORTUNATE RUNNER (rp – $4.50)

WIN (4 units)

FORTUNATE RUNNER didn’t have all favours last start and his win prior over Follow Me was an excellent performance. He’s drawn wide but even off a three-wide run with cover I believe he’s delivered the right numbers for him to be winning again and leaving Class 4.

Result: 4th (-4 units)

Each way


RACE 9

10 LEAN PERFECTION (rp – $4.80)

WIN (2 units) & PLACE (3 units)

10 with 4 & 6

QUINELLA (0.5 unit each, 1 unit total)

Back to 1000m can see LEAN PERFECTION deliver a winning performance and the early market has him at too big a price. He will likely settle midfield or worse but can power home and run STYLING CITY close. BRAVO WATCHMAN is capable down the straight also and rates highly in this field.

Result: 5th (-2 units)(-3 units) + (-1 unit) -> (-6 units)

Overall result for 38 units strategy


-38 UNITS  (100% LOSS)

The heavy rain during the Sha Tin program really influenced the track, it was a huge advantage to be racing close to the rail and on the speed.

Have Fun Together ran an enormous race all things considered. He missed the kick by a couple of lengths before getting held up at the top of the straight, and made huge ground late and wide on the track.

Superich was brilliant and he looks a galloper with a lot of promise. He maintained a wide run and was powerful through the line. Noble Steed also did a good job to finish second, he’s got points in hand for the new season.

Shining On and Sunshine Holiday never really got into the race given how the track played.

So that brings to an end season 2017/18. Congratulations to John Size, Champion Trainer and Zac Purton, Champion Jockey for their achievements through out the term. It will certainly be a different landscape with Joao Moreira leaving to Japan and I look forward to unlocking plenty of winners factoring-in next season’s crop of jockeys!

Thanks for following Hutchi’s Honkers through out Hong Kong season 2017/18! It was satisfying to turn a seasonal profit, that was the goal and even though it wasn’t large, for bigger players who are able to earn rebates via their respective agencies, it’s been significant.

Cheers

 

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)