R7 PENFOLD PARK HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M30) - Wednesday, 19 December 2018

22:20 HK TIME

summary


Unfortunately we will not get the same price about GUNNISON this time as we did last time but he does look the one we have to play on what is a bit of an ordinary card overall. He meets key rival BIG TIME BABY far better at the weights (5kg) and with a touch more positive ride with Moreira on board, he will be hard to beat especially with the foreseeable pace in the race. From that perspective, stable mate CALCULATION also has sound claims and he is likely to go out a touch bigger in the market than he should with Moreira riding Gunnison. There could also be some value around JUMBO LUCK and MISSION TYCOON for those that are trying to snare decent quinellas and trifectas. Jumbo Luck tries this surface for the first time on raceday but the progeny of Reward For Effort seem to like it. Mission Tycoon’s best form from last term rates very well indeed and in addition he has moved stylishly on this surface so I expect that he’ll run well.

selections


7 GUNNISON

(rp – $2.80)

1st @ $3.80 & $1.50

5 CALCULATION

(rp – $7.50)

6th

10 MISSION TYCOON

(rp – $7.50)

3rd @ $1.90p

8 BIG TIME BABY

(rp – $7.50)

5th

2 JUMBO LUCK

(rp – $14.00)

7th

strategy


7 GUNNISON

WIN (6 units)

7 with 5 & 10

QUINELLA (1 unit each, 2 units total)

speed


There appears as though there’ll be plenty of speed here with FABULOUS ONE, BIG TIME BABY and JUMBO LUCK all pressing forward towards the lead. JOLLY BANNER will also likely be asked to hold a position from barrier two with PERPETUAL TREASURE capable of sitting handy.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)