R5 VICTORIA PARK HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M30) - Wednesday, 19 December 2018

21:20 HK TIME

summary


The key form race with regard to this event appears to be Race 221 where FLYING LOVER (second), BOND ELEGANCE (third) and GRAND HARBOUR (fourth) all competed and there was only 0.8 of a length between the three. So very little separates these entries and who gets the right run will be key, although Flying Lover (11.82 final-200m) clearly finished best in that race with a similar finish to the winner Happy Tour. However, that was his best performance from 16 Hong Kong starts and he is yet to win a race locally. There is one other runner that could land the prize and that is SPICY KAKA who had clear excuses at his last outing on this surface when hitting his head on the stalls and he subsequently he didn’t deliver on the day. His run prior over this course and distance would give him each way claims. The value looks to be with Grand Harbour and Spicy Kaka.

selections


5 FLYING LOVER

(rp – $4.00)

8th

3 BOND ELEGANCE

(rp – $4.50)

6th

11 SPICY KAKA

(rp – $4.50)

4th

10 GRAND HARBOUR

(rp – $8.00)

5th

strategy


11 SPICY KAKA

WIN (small units)

10 GRAND HARBOUR

WIN (small units)

speed


I expect that there’ll be a decent amount of pressure on in this race with GOLDEN EFFORT, GRAND HARBOUR, BOND ELEGANCE and SPICY KAKA all contesting for positions early. FLYING LOVER might find an economical spot behind this quartet.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)