R4 VICTORIA PARK HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M30) - Wednesday, 19 December 2018

20:45 HK TIME

summary


SAM’S LOVE is going to need a track where they can make ground from off the rail, but it appears this race has been earmarked for him. His record in the grade reads well (6:1-3-1), his run earlier this season over the course and distance when second to Just Not Listening reads well and if he can reproduce that effort, then he can win. In addition the outside gate might put a few off as well and he should go out at reasonable odds. NICE KICK has a solid chance, he has had excuses in a series of runs recently and the booking of Moreira is a clear positive. In early markets he is very much on the short side though which is not ideal if you’re considering backing him. FLYING GODSPELL’S form is hard to fault and he’s holding it together well, plus he likes the dirt surface. He is sure to be thereabouts again. Perhaps WINNING SUPREME could improve on his last outing where he closed strongly over 1,000m on the turf, posting a 22.54 final-400m. No doubt more positive tactics will be used here and he did have excuses the last time he competed on the dirt when he was found to be lame afterwards.

selections


1 SAM’S LOVE

(rp – $6.50)

6th

8 WINNING SUPREME

(rp – $6.50)

1st @ $17.80 & $4.30

10 NICE KICK

(rp – $4.80)

3rd @ $1.35p

6 FLYING GODSPELL

(rp – $5.50)

11th

strategy


1 SAM’S LOVE

WIN & PLACE

speed


Decent speed is expected here with WINNING SUPREME and FLYING GODSPELL the main protagonists. MONEYMORE is drawn to take a handy position. BULLISH BROTHER and ALCAZAR might work across to sit in the first half of the field in the running.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)