best selections and strategies
Sha Tin (M30) - Wednesday, 19 December 2018
15 units Strategy
best outlays
RACE 7
7 GUNNISON (rp – $2.80)
WIN (6 units)
7 with 5 & 10
QUINELLA (1 unit each, 2 units total)
On an evening where being strongly confident about any one runner isn’t easy I’m happy to nominate GUNNISON as the best of the card. He really should have won for us at big odds last start, but although no where near as lucrative a price tonight he maps ideally given the race shape and Moreira should be able to steer the winning path required. CALCULATION and MISSION TYCOON look decent prices also and are worthwhile taking in a quinella with Gunnison.
Result: 1st @ $3.80 (+16.8 units) + 6th + 3rd (-2 units) -> (+14.8 units)
NEXT BEST OUTLAY
RACE 2
10 GOBI STORM (rp – $6.00)
WIN (2 units)
12 JIMSON THE FAMOUS (rp – $5.50)
WIN (2 units)
Both GOBI STORM and JIMSON THE FAMOUS look to be a touch underrated by the market and I think both are worth outlaying small units on to win. Whilst Rochford is one of the hardest horses to beat here, he’s too short according to my assessment and I’m far happier playing Gobi Storm, who can take a forward position and Jimson The Famous who is in good form.
Result: 6th (-2 units) & 3rd (-2 units) -> (-4 units)
each way
RACE 6
10 GRAN MASTER (rp – $7.00)
WIN (1 unit) PLACE (2 units)
GRAN MASTER isn’t the best chance to win race 6, but he’s at a price that’s too big to ignore. I expect that he should settle in the first-four in the running in a race where they’re unlikely to run at much speed, so maps to be given every chance to “bank a cheque”.
Result: 12th (-1 unit)(-2 units) -> (-3 units)
Overall result for 15 units strategy
+7.8 UNITS (52% PROFIT)
The heavy rain during the Sha Tin program really influenced the track, it was a huge advantage to be racing close to the rail and on the speed.
Have Fun Together ran an enormous race all things considered. He missed the kick by a couple of lengths before getting held up at the top of the straight, and made huge ground late and wide on the track.
Superich was brilliant and he looks a galloper with a lot of promise. He maintained a wide run and was powerful through the line. Noble Steed also did a good job to finish second, he’s got points in hand for the new season.
Shining On and Sunshine Holiday never really got into the race given how the track played.
So that brings to an end season 2017/18. Congratulations to John Size, Champion Trainer and Zac Purton, Champion Jockey for their achievements through out the term. It will certainly be a different landscape with Joao Moreira leaving to Japan and I look forward to unlocking plenty of winners factoring-in next season’s crop of jockeys!
Thanks for following Hutchi’s Honkers through out Hong Kong season 2017/18! It was satisfying to turn a seasonal profit, that was the goal and even though it wasn’t large, for bigger players who are able to earn rebates via their respective agencies, it’s been significant.
Cheers
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SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:
88
MEETINGS - SEASONS END
2485
TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS
+39.8
UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)