R9 THE LUKFOOK JEWELLERY CUP HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M29) - Sunday, 16 December 2018

16:40 HK TIME

summary


There are four newcomers in this event and all of them are exciting prospects from both Hemispheres that connections have sourced for the Hong Kong Derby – FURORE, GOLD CHEST, HEAVENLY THOUGHT and KING OF HEARTS. Judging on recent trials from them, it is hard to line them up and the reality is they all should need the outing. I don’t see much speed here, I think CONTE will hand up to Regency Bobo and get the run of the race. Conte will start an odds-on favourite and deservedly so, he will be extremely tough to beat on the back of a fine run when resuming. So even if the newcomers were at their best, they’d have to be very good to beat Conte over 1400m. WORLD RECORD had the race set up nicely for him last time but he has a blistering turn of foot and he can figure in the finish if they overdo the speed up front. That said, I prefer REGENCY BO BO to the turn the tables this time given a more likely soft lead. It isn’t a straightforward race outside of the favourite who should be winning. It’s clearly not easy to say there’s much of an advantage over the market here, but anything over $1.70 is good and for the strategy I’ll be reluctantly suggesting taking a win double with Follow Me in race 11.

selections


2 CONTE

(rp – $1.70)

1st @ $1.55 & $1.10 ($1.70 best corporate)

6 REGENCY BO BO

(rp – $15.00)

4th

7 GOLD CHEST

(rp – $15.00)

11th

strategy


2 CONTE

WIN

2 CONTE with r11: 10 FOLLOW ME

MULTI WIN (5 units)

speed


The pace should be GOOD here, but I don’t expect it to be any faster with CONTE jumping well and probably handing up to REGENCY BO BO. SHANGHAI MASTER can settle in a good position from MAGIC LEGEND.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)