R4 LUKFOOK JEWELLERY HUGGING FAMILY COLLECTION HCP

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Sha Tin (M29) - Sunday, 16 December 2018

14:00 HK TIME

summary


This field has been reduced to nine horses and the standout is SMILING PRIDE. He was heavily backed on his debut for Jimmy Ting and the form out of that race has worked out extremely well with Follow Me (second), Happy Force (fourth) and Romantic Chef (fifth) having all won since. Smiling Pride steps up to the mile, will probably be a touch fitter and will be hard to beat. The main danger to him has some pretty good figures in his own right, GOLDEN FOUR. He finished second to Follow Me when that horse won and the race rated very highly for the day. Golden Four is a legitimate contender. LE PENACHE and PO CHING TREASURE (blinkers back on) come through the same form race (race 109) from earlier in the season but are well enough exposed to suggest contesting a minor spot is far more likely than winning this. SMART ROCKET might inject some value in to exotics. It was a decent run at his third career start and he should appreciate the move up to a mile.

selections


5 SMILING PRIDE

(rp – $2.70)

2nd @ $1.25p

9 GOLDEN FOUR

(rp – $4.50)

5th

8 SMART ROCKET

(rp – $15.00)

8th

10 LE PANACHE

(rp – $10.00)

3rd @ $1.55p

strategy


5 SMILING PRIDE

WIN

5 with 9

QUINELLA

speed


There isn’t a great deal of speed on paper here and I expect that ROMANTIC BONANZA and PO CHING TREASURE and contest the lead. LE PANACHE can work forward also from his wide draw. SMILING PRIDE should be able to find a midfield position with cover.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)