R11 LUKFOOK JEWELLERY BELOVED COLLECTION HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M29) - Sunday, 16 December 2018

17:50 HK TIME

summary


There’s another short-priced favourite here and another galloper that will be tough to beat, FOLLOW ME. He rated through the roof when he won his last start and although he takes a rise in grade, that shouldn’t be an issue for this fellow who is taking the right steps forward. Frankly he put up Class 2 numbers so it’s a matter of time before he leaves Class 3. If he presents at least the same then he will be very hard to beat. TAKING AIM looks the logical danger, as he has held his form for his last two runs and he maps nicely again. Zac Purton will have a clear plot to beat Moreira and the favourite that is the main ‘fly in the ointment’ of Follow Me. The return to Sha Tin will help HAPPY SEBRING who arguably needs the bigger spaces to balance-up and hit the line. He should be suited by a genuine tempo, which he should receive in this one. If something else wins this race, I’ll be shocked and can’t find it at the early prices I’ve seen. If corporates offer you more than $1.70, snap it up and also try to ‘boost’ a win multi with Conte in race 9.

selections


10 FOLLOW ME

(rp – $1.70)

2nd @ $1.05p (quinella with 2 @ $2.55)

2 TAKING AIM

(rp – $11.00)

1st @ $3.80 & $1.25 ($4.60 best corporate)

11 HAPPY SEBRING

(rp – $14.00)

8th

strategy


10 FOLLOW ME

WIN

R9: 2 CONTE with r11: 10 FOLLOW ME

MULTI WIN (5 units)

speed


There’s not a huge amount of speed on paper here, although I expect that SUN TOUCH will lead at a GOOD speed overall. TAKING AIM is drawn to sit close and BOG FORTUNE can work across into a prominent position. DIAMOND KING could also go forward from barrier 12.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)