best selections and strategies
Sha Tin (M29) - Sunday, 16 December 2018
22 units Strategy
best outlay
RACE 2
11 GLITTERING ARMOUR (rp – $2.40)
WIN (7 units)
GLITTERING ARMOUR presents as the best of the afternoon on what is a rather “thin” day for finding much of an advantage over the market. Whilst he’s up against a few first-starters, the figures of Glittering Armour are more than solid-enough for him to very hard to beat.
Result: 5th (-7 units)
NEXT BEST OUTLAYS
RACE 9 & RACE 11
Race 9: 2 CONTE (rp – $1.70) – with–
Race 11: 10 FOLLOW ME (rp – $1.70)
WIN (MULTI DOUBLE) (5 units)
I’m very reluctant to suggest taking a double of any description, let alone one with two odds-on runners, however I do so because I believe CONTE and FOLLOW ME are “hard” $1.70 chances and if the corporates give you more than these prices, or you can “boost” your dividend a small advantage can be obtained.
Result: 1st & 2nd (-5 units)
RACE 8
9 HONEST WAY (rp – $3.50)
WIN (3.5 units)
2 MUSIC ADDITION (rp – $4.80)
WIN (2 units)
HONEST WAY rates very highly off his last start win and I think deserves top billing for the eighth race. MUSIC ADDITION too should run well and represents a nice over. He has a tricky spot in the map to potentially overcome though, which is why he’s the early price he is.
Result: 6th (-3.5 units) + 11th (-2 units)
each way
RACE 6
9 CHAPARRAL STAR (rp – $6.50)
WIN (1.5 units) & PLACE (3 units)
Chaparral Star drops back to 1400m and returns to Sha Tin, which I think, are both positives for this very consistent horse. If he can reproduce what he has at his best this term then he’ll run a good race for you at a tidy price.
Result: 4th (-1.5 units)(-3 units) -> (-4.5 units)
Overall result for 22 units strategy
-22 UNITS (100% LOSS)
The heavy rain during the Sha Tin program really influenced the track, it was a huge advantage to be racing close to the rail and on the speed.
Have Fun Together ran an enormous race all things considered. He missed the kick by a couple of lengths before getting held up at the top of the straight, and made huge ground late and wide on the track.
Superich was brilliant and he looks a galloper with a lot of promise. He maintained a wide run and was powerful through the line. Noble Steed also did a good job to finish second, he’s got points in hand for the new season.
Shining On and Sunshine Holiday never really got into the race given how the track played.
So that brings to an end season 2017/18. Congratulations to John Size, Champion Trainer and Zac Purton, Champion Jockey for their achievements through out the term. It will certainly be a different landscape with Joao Moreira leaving to Japan and I look forward to unlocking plenty of winners factoring-in next season’s crop of jockeys!
Thanks for following Hutchi’s Honkers through out Hong Kong season 2017/18! It was satisfying to turn a seasonal profit, that was the goal and even though it wasn’t large, for bigger players who are able to earn rebates via their respective agencies, it’s been significant.
Cheers
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SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:
88
MEETINGS - SEASONS END
2485
TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS
+39.8
UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)