

R6 NIGHTJAR HANDICAP
-
Happy Valley (M28) - Wednesday, 12 December 2018
21:45 HK TIME
summary
There’s quite a bit of pace in this event and it is a little hard to work out who might get the right position in the running, which will be important given there isn’t much between the ratings of a few of them. The two runners that I’m mainly interested in are COMPLACENCY and MOST BEAUTIFUL but as per it’s a price thing. The former travels to this track for the first time but maps well, had clear excuses for his defeat last start when covering plenty of extra ground and looks to be well suited here. MOST BEAUTIFUL has been excellent this season and might be able to track the speed with a touch of luck from barrier 8. The gate makes it difficult for FEARLESS FIRE but there was plenty to like about his latest win and whilst the rise in grade should pose few issues, where he ends up from the draw could be an issue. BUOYANT BOY might also go out bigger in the market than he should and his form recently is better than it appears at first glance. Overall it’s a competitive race where Complacency is the hardest to beat but the main value looks to be with Most Beautiful and Buoyant Boy.
selections
8 COMPLACENCY
(rp – $4.50)
4th
2 MOST BEAUTIFUL
(rp – $7.50)
5th
5 BUOYANT BOY
(rp – $7.50)
2nd @ $3.50p
7 FEARLESS FIRE
(rp – $6.00)
3rd @ $1.95p
strategy
2 MOST BEAUTIFUL
WIN (2 units)
5 BUOYANT BOY
WIN (2 units)
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