R5 MESIA HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M28) - Wednesday, 12 December 2018

21:15 HK TIME

summary


There’s not much pace in this event and if Joao Moreira can take DYNAMIC EAGLE to the front then he will be hard to beat. He was most unlucky at his last outing, gets a rider upgrade and the wide gate might help him roll forward and then be able to dictate the pace when on or outside of the leader. He is however a Hong Kong maiden, but has been racing well, so the drop in drop in class has him well-placed to open his local account. SMART BABY is the form runner who seems to be thriving at present. He remains fit and well and although he drops back in distance for tonight’s race, he has to be given strong claims again. It will however, be a lot tougher this time considering the lack of tempo and the wide draw (and he did have a lovely run last time) that he’ll be navigated from. KING’S MAN is another that is close to scoring but he too gets back and is at the mercy others to set the pace of the race. RED ELYSEES maps nicely and as a result can figure in the finish given his form as well. I’m happy to back Dynamic Eagle here however.

selections


1 DYNAMIC EAGLE

(rp – $3.50)

6th

8 SMART BABY

(rp – $5.50)

1st @ $5.35 & $1.85

2 KING’S MAN

(rp – $8.50)

5th

3 RED ELYSEES

(rp – $8.50)

7th

strategy


1 DYNAMIC EAGLE

WIN (6 units)

speed


There isn’t much pace here and DYNAMIC EAGLE can work across from barrier 10 to control the overall tempo. GOLDEN KID can lay up close as can JIN JIN KING. GENERAL DINO is drawn wide but might also be ridden positively to take up a position that is handy to the lead.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)