There aren’t too many chances on paper in this event and the early betting seems to have found them as well. LIGHTNING STEED has had a stable change (Freedman to Fownes) and his recent trial was excellent. His best form from last season rates well enough to win this event and he might have improved for the stable. He is also drawn to get a good run according to my map. APPLAUSE has been running well all season without winning but he settles back in the field and needs a bit to go his way. He posted the 10^th-best final-200m 11.63 when he last competed and with the booking of Zac Purton it might mean he is able to settle a touch closer and get a better chance to win another race. KHAKI has been in solid form this term and doesn’t really have to improve much for him to figure, but he will have to work from the outside gate and that might detract from his finish. However, these are the three main chances. Outside of them, WAH MAY PRINCESS has some upside and has performed satisfactorily for a race of this calibre. He might also be able to find the lead and be able to control the race from that position.