R5 THE LONGINES HONG KONG SPRINT (G1)

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Sha Tin (M27) - Sunday, 9 December 2018

14:40 HK TIME

summary


The International Sprint is a race that Hong Kong has dominated over the years and in 2018 there should be no exception. The likely favourite will be HOT KING PRAWN who has only been defeated once in his career. The Australian-bred gelding has terrific gate speed and if he isn’t forced to work too hard in the early or middle stages, then he will take a lot of beating and is a deserved favourite. That being said, a good case can be made for MR STUNNING who with better fortune last time could have beaten him. He won this race last year but the 2.5kg weight-swing in his favour over Hot King Prawn is a positive, especially in a race where there isn’t much between the leading local chances. One of the more interesting runners is LITTLE GIANT who strikes his toughest test to date. His run in the Panasonic Cup was enormous and back to 1,200m isn’t an issue for him. The booking of Zac Purton can inspire confidence and this fellow is clearly the best value chance in this race and I would suggest a small wager on him at nice odds. BEAT THE CLOCK goes in to this event second-up and finished a respectable third to Hot King Prawn in the main lead up event. He is a talented galloper who shouldn’t be far away. As far as a betting strategy for the race, I think Hot King Prawn will be heavily favoured on the local tote and a win bet on Mr Stunning and a smaller wager on Little Giant is a good approach.

selections


2 MR STUNNING

(rp – $3.00)

1st @ $3.60 & $1.30 ($4.00 best corporate)

5 HOT KING PRAWN

(rp – $3.40)

9th

12 LITTLE GIANT

(rp – $12.00)

4th

4 BEAT THE CLOCK

(rp – $10.00)

3rd @ $1.85p

strategy


2 MR STUNNING

WIN (main units)

12 LITTLE GIANT

WIN & PLACE (small units e.g. 0.5 & 1.5)

speed


An intriguing race and I expect that HOT KING PRAWN can lead a go some way to dominating the G1 from that position. IVICTORY has sound early pace as does PINGWU SPARK and FINE NEEDLE.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)