R2 ABLE FRIEND HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M27) - Sunday, 9 December 2018

12:55 HK TIME

summary


There doesn’t seem much depth to this field. AMBITIOUS HEART beat subsequent winner Country Star on his last outing and that race rated well enough for him to be competitive in this field. He should set a genuine tempo and take some reeling in. However, he is also well-enough exposed to make me want to look elsewhere. FLYING BONUS set a decent pace when being overhauled at 100-1 on his second career start and he maps to be able to get the “box seat” this time. With that more conservative approach he looks ready to shrug his maiden tag. SONIC FIGHTER found the 1,000m too sharp on debut but it served its purpose and he should strip fitter for that outing. The main concern this time is he is drawn wide and will find it tricky to find a nice spot, although a decent tempo may assist him. New Zealand import REGENCY LEGEND, formerly known as Espumoso (Murray Baker/Andrew Forsman), has some good form around him from when he raced there as a two-year-old. On his final NZ outing he was second to a subsequent winner Xpression (Bit Lippy in third has also won well-enough since) and his recent trial was excellent. He looks a nice prospect and has struck a winnable race even though he will most certainly improve with the run. The drop back in grade and claim will help HIGH FIVE who was sound in defeat against a stronger line up at Happy Valley last time – he can bounce back. JING JING WIN is often well found in the market and can figure as a leading chance, but he looks likely to be over bet in the market to me.

selections


7 FLYING BONUS

(rp – $4.50)

13th

6 REGENCY LEGEND

(rp – $8.00)

1st @ $15.95 & $5.50 ($16.00 best corporate)

2 HIGH FIVE

(rp – $6.50)

3rd @ $3.10p

13 SONIC FIGHTER

(rp – $8.50)

14th

12 AMBITIOUS HEART

(rp – $10.00)

6th

strategy


7 FLYING BONUS

WIN (small units)

6 REGENCY LEGEND

WIN (small units)

speed


The pace should be genuine with AMBITIOUS HEART drawing to be a contender for the early lead with BEAUTY SPIRIT out wider. FLYING BONUS looks to be advantaged by the race shape with JING JING WIN not far behind him.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)