R7 LONGINES INTERNATIONAL JOCKEYS’ CHAMPIONSHIP HCP

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Happy Valley (M26) - Wednesday, 5 December 2018

21:40 HK TIME

summary


There appears like there’ll be good speed in this event, with MIDNITE PROMISE (Moore), SPARKLING SWORD (Keane), MEGATRON (Take), CURLING LUXURY (Castellano) and LOTUS BREEZE (Bowman) all capable of taking-up forward positions. I can see the first half of this event being run at a solid tempo and therefore I’m happy to be with the runners that might settle midfield or worse. From that perspective, the runners that I think fit that mould and have the right form are ALL YOU KNOW (De Sousa), FORMULA GALORE (Teetan), LETSGOFREE (Poon) and potentially POSITIVELY HIGH (Purton). All You Know gained a deserved win last start over this course and distance and there was some authority with the victory. He has each way claims again. Formula Galore can win this. He comes through a good form race that has boasted three subsequent winners (Flying Quest, You Have My Word and Travel First) and he has managed to finish in the first-four in five of his eight starts over the course and distance. Letsgofree might appreciate the drop back to a mile and found the worst part of the track when on the all-weather on his last outing. He might fill a minor spot. Positively High led over this course and distance last time but the booking of Purton and some minor gear changes might indicate a more conservative approach this time. He has a little to find on recent form, but his best is good enough to be thereabouts. Of those on-pace, Curling Luxury’s win rated quite well but he has 4.5kg more to carry this time which might anchor him somewhat.

selections


11 FORMULA GALORE

(rp – $4.50)

8th

2 ALL YOU KNOW

(rp – $5.00)

3rd @ $1.55p

10 LETSGOFREE

(rp – $8.00)

4th

7 POSITIVELY HIGH

(rp – $9.00)

9th

9 CURLING LUXURY

(rp – $12.00)

2nd @ $3.65p

strategy


11 FORMULA GALORE

WIN & PLACE (2.5 x 5)

IJC CHALLENGE FORECAST


Karis TEETAN

12 POINTS

Silvestre de SOUSA

6 POINTS

Matthew POON

4 POINTS

speed


The pace should be at least GOOD here and maybe faster with five or six runners capable of contesting for the early lead. MEGATRON could lead the charge from SPARKLING SWORD and CURLING LUXURY. LOTUS BREEZE and MIDNITE PROMISE are drawn to be right there as well.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)