R7 GLASGOW HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M24) - Wednesday, 28 November 2018

22:15 HK TIME

summary


This is quite an even race with a number of chances on paper and not much separating five or six horses in terms of their ratings. STAR OF JOY was given a torrid ride when he last competed and I like the booking of Zac Purton for him. The horse is holding his form well and can win this one, although the map looks a tad messy with the skill of the champion jockey being key. FAIRY TWINS is likely to map well from a low gate and I don’t see the drop back to 1,000m being a negative. The form from his last race has worked out exceptionally well (Perfect Glory, Victory Machine x 2 and Good Omen have all had winning success). EAGLE needed a touch more tempo when he last ran but is holding his form well and once again, he is a winning chance in an even race. BEAUT BEAUT won against easier opposition last time (Gentle Breeze and Ocean Roar have won since however) but with the right run he shouldn’t be far away, while MOST BEAUTIFUL could be over the odds. It’s a tough race and I won’t suggest a specific outlay, however use prices (as per) accordingly.

selections


8 STAR OF JOY

(rp – $5.00)

3rd @ $1.60p

1 FAIRY TWINS

(rp – $5.50)

4th

3 EAGLE

(rp – $6.00)

6th

10 BEAUT BEAUT

(rp – $8.50)

9th

7 MOST BEAUTIFUL

(rp – $9.00)

2nd @ $4.10p

strategy


NO OUTLAY RECOMMENDED

use prices accordingly

speed


The pace should be at least GOOD here. HEALTHY LUCK can contest the lead with TELECOM BROTHERS. FAIRY TWINS is drawn to at least trail and GOKO from barrier 11 could be a significant pace influence. EAGLE should be able to track the speed and maps to be in the optimum position.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)