R6 JEDBURGH HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M24) - Wednesday, 28 November 2018

21:45 HK TIME

summary


This will be a race to invest into with two leading horses and with E-MASTER as the main play. He arguably should have won all three starts this season and his form has been faultless since joining Caspar Fownes. Hopefully from the middle gate he gets the right run, as he will be hard to beat. I have him potentially finding a good spot just behind the main speed, but ultimately it’ll be in the hands of Sam Clipperton. The clear main danger to E-Master is DRAGON DANCE, who won his last start over the course and distance and comes up in grade. After leading on his last outing he still posted the 12th-best final-200m (11.54) when scoring and he gets in to this event very dangerously weighted for an in-form potential pacesetter. GOLDEN GLORY and JOLLY BOUNTIFUL have both run well this term and can hit the frame, but there are not many chances in this event and I’m happy outlaying around E-Master and Dragon Dance.

selections


4 E-MASTER

(rp – $3.00)

2nd @ $1.20p

12 DRAGON DANCE

(rp – $4.50)

3rd @ $1.80p

2 GOLDEN GLORY

(rp – $7.00)

10th

5 JOLLY BOUNTIFUL

(rp – $8.50)

8th

strategy


4 E-MASTER

WIN (6 units)

12 DRAGON DANCE

WIN (3.5 units)

speed


DRAGON DANCE can lead this event at a GOOD speed overall from FLYING MONKEY and COMPASSION STAR. ALL GREAT FRIENDS could add some extra early speed into the affair if Purton so chooses.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)