R4 JEDBURGH HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M24) - Wednesday, 28 November 2018

20:45 HK TIME

summary


This is an even race on paper and not one to invest too heavily into. LOOK ERAS was quite bold when collared late over 1,000m first-up this preparation and he should find the lead easily here. He’ll strip a touch fitter for that outing and I expect will be in the fight for a long way. THOU SHALL SING (SID) worked too hard on-pace on his last outing and IF he gets the right run then he is capable of a win. I anticipate that he’ll settle just off Look Eras with it being in neither horse’s interests to take each other on in front. Quadruple DOUBLE travels to the city course for the first time, but the booking of De Sousa and barrier one give him every chance to notch his first win. He should trail the leaders and will only need clear running in the straight to be a factor. FLYING FORCE just didn’t get the pace to suit when he last competed but remains in good form and should be working home strongly. I wouldn’t get carried away given I have less than a length in ratings between five horses here, but small outlays on Look Eras and Quadruple Double are fair options.

From Sweet In Defeat:

THOU SHALL SING

selections


2 LOOK ERAS

(rp – $5.00)

8th

5 QUADRUPLE DOUBLE

(rp – $5.00)

7th

6 THOU SHALL SING

(rp – $6.00)

4th

4 FLYING FORCE

(rp – $8.00)

9th

strategy


2 LOOK ERAS

WIN (small units)

5 QUADRUPLE DOUBLE

WIN (small units)

speed


The pace should be GOOD with LOOK ERAS, THOU SHALL SING and QUADRUPLE DOUBLE the pacesetters. MONICA can settle close from barrier 1 with EVERBRAVE able to work into a position in the first half of the field also.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)