R3 FERNIEHIRST HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M24) - Wednesday, 28 November 2018

20:15 HK TIME

summary


There’s just a field of nine assembled for this event and it’s a race with not much pace on paper either. However, there might be a good bet here with NEW ELEGANCE who comes through a solid race won by Ho Ho Khan. He was close enough that speed when he last competed and battled well for Zac Purton, who rides again this evening. Providing there aren’t any crazy mid-race moves then he will be very hard to beat. HELENE CHARISMA was desperately unlucky when he last competed at Happy Valley, but his run prior at Sha Tin proved he has a bit to find against New Elegance. TOP LAURELS is a genuine chance to figure in the finish and he should be near his peak now third-up. He too might be worth a play too if Helene Charisma continues to dominate the betting following his luckless run.

selections


2 NEW ELEGANCE

(rp – $3.50)

7th

5 TOP LAURELS

(rp – $5.00)

2nd @ $2.65p

1 HELENE CHARISMA

(rp – $6.00)

6th

strategy


2 NEW ELEGANCE

WIN (7 units)

5 TOP LAURELS

WIN (4.5 units)

speed


There isn’t much speed on paper here and I expect DYNAMIC EAGLE to lead this race from NEW ELEGANCE. FLYING QUEST is drawn to sit close and TOP LAURELS can settle in a spot in the first half of the field.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)